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Eyelids
06-26-2008, 05:11 PM
http://bp1.blogger.com/_ov-pT1x-W8Y/SGPGJoimFPI/AAAAAAAABoI/rhv6_GCiZiU/S1600-R/0626_winhist.PNG

http://bp0.blogger.com/_ov-pT1x-W8Y/SGPGDduax7I/AAAAAAAABoA/iKAxOHkGVys/S1600-R/0626_super.PNG

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/ec_graph-2008.png

Related:

Probability Analysis:
Obama landslide -(375+ E.V.)- : 40.95% [4095/10000]
McCain landslide -(375+ E.V.)- : 4.68% [468/10000]

Eyelids
06-26-2008, 05:12 PM
Here's a snapshot of the country now:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Pngs/Jun26.png

And heres a map based on models determined by previous elections:
http://bp3.blogger.com/_ov-pT1x-W8Y/SGPF65GLb_I/AAAAAAAABnw/K2rxKQEZPZI/S1600-R/0626_bigmap.PNG

Can we please stop saying Barack Obama experienced no bump when he clinched the Democratic nomination? Because thats just not true.

Phillygirl
06-26-2008, 05:17 PM
I though this was an announcement that he was pregnant.

Zafod
06-26-2008, 05:20 PM
*yawn* I cant wait for the big ear freek to get his ass handed to him.

Teetop
06-26-2008, 05:21 PM
SnObama's bump was just someone else he just threw under the bus.

:eek:

Zafod
06-26-2008, 05:21 PM
SnObama's bump was just someone else he just threw under the bus.

:eek:

hahahahahahahaha!!!

nightflight
06-26-2008, 06:38 PM
The only poll that counts is the one on election day.

xavierob82
06-26-2008, 06:51 PM
Still early, of course, but its beautiful to see Old Dominion slowly trending blue. Thank you, Northern Virginia!

And if all the stars align correctly, we'll take Colorado too!

Zafod
06-26-2008, 07:26 PM
Still early, of course, but its beautiful to see Old Dominion slowly trending blue. Thank you, Northern Virginia!

And if all the stars align correctly, we'll take Colorado too!

*yawn* Keep dreaming....

Eyelids
06-26-2008, 07:34 PM
I have 2 posts full of sources backing me up, but somehow were delusional.

MrsSmith
06-26-2008, 07:41 PM
Poll: McCain better suited to handle Iraq
Denver Post Wire Report
Article Launched: 06/26/2008 12:30:00 AM MDT


John McCain's stance on the war is unambiguous: He voted for it, supports the current enhanced U.S. troop presence in Iraq and vigorously opposes any time table to withdraw.

The public's stance on the war is as equivocal as McCain's is not: A strong majority opposes it and believes it was wrong in the first place, but more find McCain better suited to handle Iraq than his Democratic presidential rival, Barack Obama.


http://www.denverpost.com/ci_9695043?source=rss

http://i11.photobucket.com/albums/a152/MrsSmith2001/barack_obama_birth_certificate.jpg:eek:

Molon Labe
06-26-2008, 07:57 PM
The only poll that counts is the one on election day.

You'll never convince this guy that premature polls before Summer's in full swing are a delusion.
And if Obama wins you'll never hear the end of how right he was. :rolleyes:

MrsSmith
06-26-2008, 08:39 PM
You'll never convince this guy that premature polls before Summer's in full swing are a delusion.
And if Obama wins you'll never hear the end of how right he was. :rolleyes:

And when Obama loses, it'll be the fault of the BFEE!!!1!!1!1!!1!!1111one

lacarnut
06-26-2008, 10:38 PM
And if Obama wins you'll never hear the end of how right he was. :rolleyes:

His chances are slim and none in my opinion. If Obama wins, I could give a shit what this little turd is crowing about; my main concern will be, how I am going to deal with living in a socialized country.

Eyelids
06-26-2008, 10:43 PM
His chances are slim and none in my opinion.
Yes, your extremely objective opinion.

lacarnut
06-26-2008, 10:59 PM
Yes, your extremely objective opinion.

Just calling a spade a spade; just like your extremely objective opinion.

Perilloux
06-27-2008, 07:32 AM
SnObama's bump was just someone else he just threw under the bus.

:eek:

:D

LOL!!

Zafod
06-27-2008, 11:06 AM
Yes, your extremely objective opinion.

pink eye, your shit is getting real old.

Molon Labe
06-27-2008, 11:51 AM
Here's another little tid bit about Obama in this article. He was against the FISA when he was a Senator...which is the lone good thing I could say about him....
And now....Voila!... The little bastards' now for it!... And guess what...he's pissed off some of his base too.

He's just another statist reject blowing in the wind.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0608/11349.html

Rebel Yell
06-27-2008, 12:08 PM
Is that all you have posted the last couple days....

Obama's Bump, his Bump.......What about his lovely lady Humps?


Gallup poll has them in a dead heat.

Eyelids
06-27-2008, 12:17 PM
Just calling a spade a spade; just like your extremely objective opinion.

Backed up by 3 or 4 objective sources.

Eyelids
06-27-2008, 12:27 PM
Here's another little tid bit about Obama in this article. He was against the FISA when he was a Senator...which is the lone good thing I could say about him....
And now....Voila!... The little bastards' now for it!... And guess what...he's pissed off some of his base too.

He's just another statist reject blowing in the wind.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0608/11349.html

Im pissed about his FISA stance too; but hes gotta get elected and McCain would tear him apart if he still tried to block it.

YupItsMe
06-27-2008, 12:35 PM
So I went to your source Fivethirtyeight.com.


On the sidebar it has results by state If you subtract NH the avg Obama numbers for New England are 96.6%. !!. I know you're young and stupid, but do you really trust numbers like that.

VT is 99% Obama/ 1% McCain. I live in this socialist hellhole and I'll gurantee you that more than 6,000 (1%) of us will be voting McCain. One of our wiser members pointed out to you that polls in the summer of 1984 showed Mondale ahead of Reagan. How'd that one turn out.

Eyelids
06-27-2008, 12:37 PM
So I went to your source Fivethirtyeight.com.


On the sidebar it has results by state If you subtract NH the avg Obama numbers for New England are 96.6%. !!. I know you're young and stupid, but do you really trust numbers like that.

VT is 99% Obama/ 1% McCain. I live in this socialist hellhole and I'll gurantee you that more than 6,000 (1%) of us will be voting McCain. One of our wiser members pointed out to you that polls in the summer of 1984 showed Mondale ahead of Reagan. How'd that one turn out.

Those arent popular vote percentages, its an indication of how likely he is to win the state. Basically 99/100 scenarios place Obama as the victor in VT. That kind of shit can be confusing so I see where you're coming from.

Molon Labe
06-27-2008, 12:38 PM
Im pissed about his FISA stance too; but hes gotta get elected and McCain would tear him apart if he still tried to block it.

Far more American's are for Obama's original stance on the issue...so it's a collossal msitake to think McCain has the high moral ground on this. There are alot of conservatives pissed off about the Patriot act and the threats it's posed to civil liberties.

what makes this so disgusting is that Obama is getting so much support from people like you....That lesser of two evils crap is pathetic. If you don't vote on principle you just continue the game.

Vepr
06-27-2008, 12:48 PM
To far out. I personally think both candidates suck and I don't plan on casting my vote for either but so much can change good and bad for candidates in only a weeks time that numbers now don't mean much no matter who they look good or bad for.

YupItsMe
06-27-2008, 01:12 PM
Those arent popular vote percentages, its an indication of how likely he is to win the state. Basically 99/100 scenarios place Obama as the victor in VT. That kind of shit can be confusing so I see where you're coming from.


I stand corrected. I would agree unfortunately that 99% probability that Obama takes VT. I'm glad we only have 3 electoral votes. I'm not sure about 80% in NH . NH loves McCain. I'd put it closer to 50/50

Eyelids
06-27-2008, 01:27 PM
I stand corrected. I would agree unfortunately that 99% probability that Obama takes VT. I'm glad we only have 3 electoral votes. I'm not sure about 80% in NH . NH loves McCain. I'd put it closer to 50/50

I agree about NH and to the same extent FL. I dont think FL is really tied right now... McCain should be (and probably is) winning there, I mean look at the margins in the past that are all +10 for McCain and suddenly after the Democrats take away half their delegates Obama makes a jump? Yeah right.

FL and NH are the two states I'm not trusting the polls are on just yet.

Zafod
06-27-2008, 03:16 PM
I agree about NH and to the same extent FL. I dont think FL is really tied right now... McCain should be (and probably is) winning there, I mean look at the margins in the past that are all +10 for McCain and suddenly after the Democrats take away half their delegates Obama makes a jump? Yeah right.

FL and NH are the two states I'm not trusting the polls are on just yet.

But you trust ever other one as long as it shows ohbuttfuck leading.....

Rebel Yell
06-27-2008, 03:31 PM
Iget so tired of hearing about who is "winning". Nobody is "winning" right now. The whole shabang is in November. I understand what is meant, but for some reason the whole "winning" thing bothers me. Polls don't mean shit, they are just there to sway voters. A left leaning poll will show Obama "winning" so people will want to be on the "winning" team. Same thing goes for right leaning polls. EVERYONE HAS AN AGENDA. Remember that. Gallup has them neck and neck, which is probably closer to the truth. All these polls between now and November are a complete waste of time.

lacarnut
06-27-2008, 04:06 PM
FL and NH are the two states I'm not trusting the polls are on just yet.

And your are a mental midget when it comes to polls and voting in Presidential elections. I did not even mention that you were a dumb ass black. :eek::)

hampshirebrit
06-27-2008, 04:51 PM
Iget so tired of hearing about who is "winning". Nobody is "winning" right now. The whole shabang is in November. I understand what is meant, but for some reason the whole "winning" thing bothers me. Polls don't mean shit, they are just there to sway voters.

Exactly right. Polls just tell the dimmer-witted voters how to vote, instead of having them research the issues for themselves and then vote based on their research efforts.

There's a very good case to be made for blocking publication of poll results in the run-up to an election, as I believe is the case in some democracies (Australia - Sonna, am I right here?).

I do believe, also, that any media outlet with a foreign based controlling interest (News Corporation, controlled by the Australian-turned-Amercan Ruport Murdoch comes to mind) should be prohibited from running any editorial content on a national election where the controlling interest is not a citizen of the country in question.

MrsSmith
06-27-2008, 08:08 PM
Polls tend to bring out the voters for the underdog.

lacarnut
06-27-2008, 08:29 PM
Polls tend to bring out the MINDLESS DEMOCRATIC voters.

FIXED :eek::eek::eek:

Eyelids
06-27-2008, 09:14 PM
But you trust ever other one as long as it shows ohbuttfuck leading.....

Obama is leading in NH and tied in FL according to the polls, I think both states are more pro-McCain than said polls recognize.

MrsSmith
06-27-2008, 10:24 PM
Originally Posted by MrsSmith
Polls tend to bring out the MINDLESS DEMOCRATIC voters.


FIXED :eek::eek::eek:

And the DEAD ones... :D