PDA

View Full Version : A Deal to Save Iran?



PoliCon
06-26-2009, 03:58 PM
The Daily Beastís Reza Aslan reports that Iranís clerics may be close to forcing a compromise from the supreme leaderóone that would entail a runoff election between Mousavi and Ahmadinejad.

Reliable sources in Iran are suggesting that a possible compromise to put an end to the violent uprising that has rocked Iran for the past two weeks may be in the works. I have previously reported that the second most powerful man in Iran, Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani, the head of the Assembly of Experts (the body with the power to choose and dismiss the supreme leader) is in the city of Qomóthe countryís religious centerótrying to rally enough votes from his fellow assembly members to remove the current supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei from power. News out of Iran suggests that he may be succeeding. At the very least, it seems he may have gained enough support from the clerical establishment to force a compromise from Khamenei, one that would entail a runoff election between Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his main reformist rival Mir Hossein Mousavi.

Reports of the possible compromise, though unconfirmed, are coming from multiple sources. Considering the Guardian Councilís tacit admission that there were indeed some voting irregularities (at least 50 cities in Iran reported more than 100% voter turnoutósome as much as 140%), as well as the refusal of many senior members of Iranís parliament, including the powerful speaker Ali Larijani, a close ally of Khamenei, to accept the election results (Ahmadinejadís presidential victory party last night drew less than a third of parliamentís members, with Larijani a conspicuous no-show), there is reason to believe that the regime may be willing to accept some kind of compromise. More importantly, cracks have begun to appear among the highest levels of the Revolutionary Guard. A few days ago, the head of Tehranís branch of the IRGC, the one-eyed war hero Ali Fazli, was removed from his post and detained, ostensibly for refusing to follow orders. Meanwhile, the sheer brutality of the government crackdown has only further fueled the peoplesí anger. On Tuesday, a large number of bazaar merchants closed their shops in an unofficial strike to show solidarity with the protesters. And despite the fact that protests in the capital city of Tehran have diminished, there are still reports of massive protests taking place in other parts of the country, including in Tabriz, Isfahan, Kermanshah, Mashad, and Shiraz. These protests have been significantly smaller due to the brutal security crackdown, but they have also been much more forceful and violent.

It was exactly a week ago, during Friday prayers, that Khamenei threw down the gauntlet to the protesters, unleashing the full force of Iran's security apparatus to deal with the uprising. If a compromise is indeed in the works, look for a softening of tone tomorrow during Khameneiís Friday sermon.

Reza Aslan, a contributor to The Daily Beast, is assistant professor of creative writing at the University of California, Riverside and senior fellow at the Orfalea Center on Global and International Studies at UC Santa Barbara. He is the author of the bestseller No god but God and How to Win a Cosmic War.


June 25, 2009 | 1:41pm

http://www.thedailybeast.com/blogs-and-stories/2009-06-25/a-deal-to-save-iran/

PoliCon
06-26-2009, 03:59 PM
now this adds a new wrinkle to the burka . . . .

megimoo
06-27-2009, 01:07 AM
Too risky for the Mullahs .The reason that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei brought Hezbollah into the mix is for backup.He doesn't trust the revolutionary guard .The easiest way to regain control is to bring in the big guns and make the streets run with blood but they fear this thing getting totally out of control.

Mousavi and Ahmadinejad are equally as bad for Iran as far as freedom goes.This is an power play between Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the upper level of the Islamic Sheii clergy for who will be the next supreme leader.Mousavi and Ahmadinejad are nothing but puppets on a stage to deceive the world and people of Iran .

The powers that be will make small concessions to to stop the riots but will never give up any real power .They may well dump Ahmadinejad but nothing real will change, they will still rule Iran and any real freedom will disappear.

They will round all of the student leaders and hang them in public either under very tight security or, if they still fear an uprising, in some prison execution chamber.

If the students and the people of Iran are really convinced that the Mullahs will bend and eventually cave in they will 'go for broke' and start a full scale revolution .It all depends on just how far the students are willing to go with this embryonic revolution ,the numbers are growing but when the blood starts flowing in large quantity's they may well back down .

Best to remember that Iran is a very primitive Islamic country ruled by a bunch of religious fanatics who are stuck in the ramblings of an seventh century desert bandit who started his own religion and who's followers are still waiting for some lost Mullah to climb out of a well and save their Persian Islamic empire .