View Full Version : Charlie Cook: Nine Dem Senate Seats In Play

01-12-2010, 05:45 PM
The veteran election analyst says the last several weeks have been “gruesome” and “psychologically devastating” for the Democrats.

Cook on Vulnerable Senate Democrat seats:

The most endangered, after Dorgan’s open seat in North Dakota, are the open seats in Delaware and Illinois, followed by (Nevada-based Senate Majority Leader Harry) Reid; Michael Bennet, D-Colo.; Blanche Lincoln, D-Ark.; and Arlen Specter, D-Pa. Add in Dodd’s open seat and that of Sen. Barbara Boxer, D-Calif., and that puts a total of nine seats in play.

And that doesn’t even include the Jan. 19 Massachusetts special election, where GOP state Sen. Scott Brown may be neck-and-neck with Democrat Attorney General Martha Coakley.

Senate Republicans do have to play some defense, Cook thinks they can parry Democrats’ attack. While there are four GOP open seats that are competitive, in this political climate, Democrats would be hard-pressed to pick off one from Kentucky, Missouri, New Hampshire or Ohio.

All told, Cook predicts the GOP will likely pick up 4-6 Senate seats this fall. The Democrats currently hold 58 seats, plus two independents, giving them a 60-seat supermajority.As for the House, Cook doesn’t think Democrats have yet reached the “tipping point” of retirements and other mishaps that could seriously threaten their control of the chamber. But it’s close.