View Full Version : AGW Panic Monger Flannery blows it yet again

02-06-2010, 06:23 PM
Link (http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200506/s1389858.htm)

Climate change 'will prolong' drought conditions

Leading environmentalist Professor Tim Flannery has warned that Australia is now entering long-term climate change, which could cause longer and more frequent droughts. He also predicts that the ongoing drought could leave Sydney's dams dry in just two years.

Professor Flannery, who is the director of the South Australian Museum, has told ABC TV's Lateline that global warming is threatening Australia's chance of returning to a regular rainfall pattern. "Three major phenomena are depriving Australia of its rainfall," he said One of them is just simply the shifting weather patterns as the planet warms up, so the tropics are expanding southwards and the winter rainfall zone is sort of dropping off the southern edge of the continent."

He says the second phenomena is disturbances in the ozone layer. "That is causing wind speeds around Antarctica to increase and, again, drawing that winter rainfall to the south," he said. The third phenomena, which Professor Flannery says is the most worrying, is the recurring El Nino weather pattern.

"That's occurring as the Pacific Ocean warms up, and we're seeing much longer El Ninos than we've seen before and often now back-to-back el Ninos with very little of the La Nina cycle, the flood cycle, in between," he said.

Professor Flannery says that all adds up to back-to-back droughts, and if he had a say he would ration water use. "If you think there's only a 10 per cent chance that this rainfall deficit's going to continue for another few years, you'd be pulling out all stops to preserve water," he said.

"Because every litre you use now on your car, or your garden or whatever else, you might want to drink in a year's time." Professor Flannery says that if Sydney's dams dry up, the city's ground water supply would last just 10 days.

"The worst case scenario for Sydney is that the climate that's existed for the last seven years continues for another two years," he said. "In that case, Sydney will be facing extreme difficulties with water.

"Large cities are the most vulnerable of all structures to water deficit because you've got 4 million people who need water there just for everyday survival." He says Melbourne is also vulnerable to water deficits while Adelaide may have problems with water quality.

"South Australia is that we are at the end of the Murray River catchment, and our water can taste awful at times and can be rather poor quality," he said. Professor Flannery is calling for higher charges for water to encourage more sparing use, and more work to stop the causes of climate change.

"Water and power - they're both limited and very valuable resources, and I believe we've been paying far too little for them for a long time, and this really is starting to cause a severe problem for us."As of yesterday, Sydney dams are at 51% and climbing nicely, thanks to massive rain.

You were saying, Tim?

02-06-2010, 06:31 PM
Well, this was written 4 and a half years ago. And looking at news stories, that drought did last another 2 years like he forecasted, and it did have impacts on water rationing and such.


02-06-2010, 06:43 PM
Flummery also predicted large sea level rises (never happend), Perth being out of water in a month (it isnt) Sydney being out of water in two years, (it isnt) the Barrier Reef dying (it didnt)

From Andrew Bolt (http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/column_the_10_worst_warming_predictions/)

In March, Flannery said: “The water problem is so severe for Adelaide that it may run out of water by early 2009.”

In fact, Adelaide’s reservoirs are now 75 per cent full, just weeks from 2009.

In June last year, Flannery warned Brisbane’s “water supplies are so low they need desalinated water urgently, possibly in as little as 18 months”.

In fact, 18 months later, its dams are 46 per cent full after Brisbane’s wettest spring in 27 years.

In 2005, Flannery predicted Sydney’s dams could be dry in just two years.

In fact, three years later its dams are 63 per cent full, not least because June last year was its wettest since 1951.

In 2004, Flannery said global warming would cause such droughts that “there is a fair chance Perth will be the 21st century’s first ghost metropolis”.

In fact, Perth now has the lowest water restrictions of any state capital, thanks to its desalination plant and dams that are 40 per cent full after the city’s wettest November in 17 yearsCase CLOSED.