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PoliCon
03-18-2010, 03:00 PM
Monday, March 15, 2010
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Both Republican and Tea Party candidates have gained a little ground in a potential three-way congressional contest, but Democrats remain on top.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of likely voters finds the Democratic candidate earning 34% support, while the Republican gets 27% of the vote with the Tea Party hopeful in third at 21%. Nineteen percent (19%) of voters are undecided.

In December, the Tea Party candidate came in second with 23% of the vote, while the Republican finished in third with 18%. The Democratic candidate attracted 36% of the vote in that contest. By early February, however, the GOP candidate came in second with 25% of the vote, while the Tea Party candidate picked up just 17%. The Democrat again had 36%, and 23% were undecided.

Many speculate that Tea Party candidates will take votes away from Republicans, so Rasmussen Reports decided to try to measure that impact.

When voters are asked how they would vote if only the Democratic candidate or the Republican had a chance to win the election, the majority of Tea Party voters switch to the GOP column. Given that scenario, the Republican candidate gets 41% of the vote to the Democrat’s 38%. Nine percent (9%) still vote for the Tea Party candidate, but just 12% remain undecided.

Similarly, if only the Democrat or the Tea Party candidate has a chance to win, Republican support shifts primarily to the Tea Party. In that case, the Democratic and Tea Party candidates tie with 36% of the vote each. Sixteen percent (16%) still vote Republican, but again 12% are undecided.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

Republicans have led Democrats for months in Rasmussen Reports’ weekly two-way Generic Congressional Ballot. This past week, 44% said they would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 37% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.

Sixteen percent (16%) of all voters now consider themselves part of the Tea Party movement. Sixty-seven percent (67%) do not, but another 17% are not sure.

Thirty percent (30%) of Republicans say they’re part of the Tea Party movement, but just five percent (5%) of Democrats and 14% of voters not affiliated with either major party agree.

In the December and February surveys, 41% of voters had a favorable opinion of the Tea Party movement. But in the most recent survey, 28% viewed the movement unfavorably, up six points from December, and 31% were undecided.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Americans had a favorable view of the so-called “tea party” protests just after they were held on Tax Day, April 15, last year. It was those events around the country that gelled into the Tea Party movement, a protest largely against what are viewed as the big government policies of both major political parties.

Voter unhappiness with Congress has reached the highest level ever recorded by Rasmussen Reports, with 71% now saying the legislature is doing a poor job. Sixty-three percent (63%) say it would be better for the country if most incumbents in Congress were defeated this November. Just 27% of voters say their representative in Congress is the best possible person for the job.

Much of the voter unhappiness is directed at the national health care plan proposed by President Obama and congressional Democrats. Even as Congress nears a possible vote on the plan, most voters still oppose it the way they have for months.

Rasmussen Reports has polled on 2010 Senate races in Oklahoma, Nevada, Colorado, Arkansas, Pennsylvania, California, Indiana, Wisconsin, Washington, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Missouri, New Hampshire, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, Connecticut, Illinois and Iowa. Most show a difficult political environment for Democrats.

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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_politics/march_2010/three_way_ballot_democrats_34_gop_27_tea_party_21

fettpett
03-18-2010, 05:50 PM
i take it this is in Gengeric balot?

PoliCon
03-18-2010, 08:32 PM
i take it this is in Gengeric balot?

right.

djones520
03-18-2010, 08:54 PM
I read a story about this being a concern in Nevada. I think this is why Reid has seemed so comfortable about he reelection chances. Some have even speculated that he's been helping to fund the Tea Party candidate.

patriot45
03-18-2010, 08:57 PM
What does this mean? Do we add the rep #'s and the Tea Party #'s and get 48% against the disgusting libs?!

djones520
03-18-2010, 09:32 PM
What does this mean? Do we add the rep #'s and the Tea Party #'s and get 48% against the disgusting libs?!

It means that our votes are getting split down the middle against a concerted opponent. This might prove devestating to us this year, and who knows in 2012.

patriot45
03-18-2010, 09:54 PM
It means that our votes are getting split down the middle against a concerted opponent. This might prove devestating to us this year, and who knows in 2012.

I am not sure a disgusting lib would get the nod over either a Rep or thier conservative counterpart. Whoever the front runner on the correct(Right) side will be will overwhelm!