View Full Version : Australia set for hung parliament as voters punish PM
08-22-2010, 07:58 AM
SYDNEY (AFP) – Australia awoke to the prospect of its first hung parliament in 70 years on Sunday after a voter backlash against Prime Minister Julia Gillard, who ousted an elected leader just eight weeks ago.
Gillard, who became the country's first woman prime minister in a party coup, was lagging behind her conservative rival in national polls by 70 seats to 72, according to public broadcaster ABC.
The Labor leader, 48, conceded her centre-left party would not gain the 76 seats needed for an outright majority and would have to rely on the support of parliament's projected four independent lawmakers.
"The people have spoken, but it's going to take a little while to determine exactly what they have said," Gillard told supporters in Melbourne.
"What we know from tonight's result is there will be a number of independents in the house of representatives playing a role as the next government of Australia is formed."
Analysts said Australia could be in limbo for up to two weeks as parties horse-trade for leadership of the 150-seat lower house, after Gillard's Labor became the first single-term government since 1932.
08-22-2010, 10:25 AM
08-22-2010, 11:25 AM
08-22-2010, 02:25 PM
Voters probably just pissed at most politicians. Don't know how the proposed mining tax came out but that was a big political football.
08-23-2010, 06:58 AM
Voters probably just pissed at most politicians. Don't know how the proposed mining tax came out but that was a big political football.That is EXACTLY what happened, more than 600,000 informal votes (as in they drew penises and wrote FUCK YOU BOTH on them)..we are faced with the libertarians most cherished dream...a government that can do NOTHING .
Until this deadlock is sorted, she is a caretaker only, no new new policies. No taxes. No legislation. She is a caretaker until the GG says she can form government.
Remember that internet filter crap?? Stephen Conroy?He didnt listen, didnt want to hear what the people had to say..and in doing so created a massive movement that resulted in close to 200,000 votes against him. They voted "below the line" meaning they set their voter preferences and put him LAST..and there was a massive swing Austwide against his party.
Oh he got back in all right...but he and Labor are, to put it mildly, reaching for the trauma kit.
They lost SIXTEEN seats :eek:
Amongst them was Maxine McKew who took John Howard's old seat, she was known as the "invisible lady" (never in her electorate) and guess what...they THREW her out on her ass.
Oh wait, it gets better
If Gillard gets to be PM she inherits
1. A minority government which will more or less sooner or later implode, Gillard doesnt know what cooperation means and I give it three months before the independents on whom she will rely will get sick and tired of her
2. The Governor General was a RUDD appointee, and she ran around doing his political agenda ...now it comes out her son in law is one of the Labor stooges that did Rudd in..and now SHE has to take advice as to whether or not she can intervene and not be seen as partisan owing to the fact her son in law is a Labor strongman.
This is comedy GOLD.
Wait, it gets even better...she is going to have to wheel and deal and wheedle these independents into helping her and God save her if they get pissed at her...one of the independents was against this carbon cap and trade...he said drop it or I walk, Gillard said no and ...he walked away.
3. If she does go minority, it WILL fall apart, she WILL find herself in a very bad position and she is already sitting on a powderkeg..she screws up, and they may very well do to her, what they did to Rudd
4 And here's the kicker: Tony Abbott has pulled off what many are calling a miracle, he took a fragmented and jaded opposition and turned it into a party that took on a popular and majority holding incumbent...and won. Labor's majority is GONE. All of it.
This wasnt just an election, this was a MASSACRE.
And the infighting and bloodletting has started already. Gillard's hold is tenuous at best now...when the Kilkenny cats get started? No way in hell can she stop it. There are already calls for Bitar's (the campaign manager) head, An ex Labor Premier (head of NSW ) has taken an axe to him on TWITTER for Gods sakes
As the campaign director, Karl Bitar ought to have by now fallen on his sword and he just doesn’t have the principle to do it.and he fired back
Iemma’s attacks on me have nothing 2 do with the fed campaign and all about his attempts
to privatise electricity in NSW in 2008.I have never in all my days seen a political party commit seppuku in such spectacular fashion
Hang on folks, this is gonna be GOOOOOOOOOOD,.............
08-23-2010, 07:47 AM
enator Arbib, who helped organise the numbers against Kevin Rudd in favour of Julia Gillard in June, was due to appear on ABC TV’s Q&A program on Monday night. But just hours before the show goes to air his spokeswoman told AAP the federal senator wouldn’t be appearing as scheduled. UPDATE
Tony Jones on Q&A tonight says Gillard ordered Arbib not to appear.
08-23-2010, 07:50 AM
From Andrew Bolts blog (http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/column_the_only_good_in_this_bad_result/)
Read and consider
THIS election has given us one clear winner - and its neither Tony Abbott nor Julia Gillard.
The winner is us, and not because well get better government.
Whoever wins - Labor’s Gillard or the Coalition’s Abbott - will rely for their majority in the House of Representatives on the backing of a Green extremist, three independent and unpredictable rural populists, or a combination of the above.
In the Senate, it’s worse. Neither Abbott nor Gillard could get anything passed without the backing of the other, or of the rampant Greens, who now hold sole balance of power.
So stand by for more promises blocked and for yet more disillusion of the destructive kind on which the Greens feed. So why do I say we are still winners? It’s because I’m hoping this startling result will teach us three lessons about maturity.First lesson: treat voters as grown ups.
Just nine months ago, Newspoll said Labor was ahead by a landslide 57 to 43 per cent. Its leader, Kevin Rudd, had for months been one of our most popular prime ministers.The Liberals were in such disarray they were onto their third leader in two years. So how could Labor have lost this election, as well as lost Rudd to an earlier coup to stop defeat from turning into a disaster?
There’s lots to blame. The Government’s administrative bungling was of a scale never seen before. Think of the pink batts disaster or the multi-billion-dollar rorting of the Building the Education Revolution.
Then there are Gillard’s incompetent promising of a “citizens assembly” on global warming and an East Timor detention centre, and Labor’s favourite excuse yesterday - that what killed it was all that leaking by that bastard Rudd.
But one other factor explains even more. Labor treated voters as children. As teenagers who’d snatch at any bright thing and never ask the price. It made promise after feel-good promise that any real adult knew could never be fulfilled.
There was the emissions trading system that would actually destroy our economy. Promises to cut fuel and grocery prices simply by setting up websites. Promises of free insulation with barely a thought that people would rip it off.
And all of it sold with spin so shameless it was an insult to hear. One minute we were told that boat people sent by Rudd to Indonesia would be offered no special deal, the next they were here, unpacking their bags.
One minute Labor spinner Bruce Hawker was telling us Rudd was a genius; the next he was explaining why Gillard had to knife him. There comes a time when people arc up, and that time came when the Government ditched the emissions trading scheme it typically oversold as the greatest moral and economic challenge of our time. After that, Rudd could offer nothing more that would be believed. We knew he’d treated us as children.
Second lesson: do not believe what everyone tells you. Or, if you’re a politician, dare to defy the focus groups. Nine months ago, almost every prominent commentator agreed the public was eager for an emissions trading scheme. If the Liberals opposed it they’d be on a political suicide mission. And Tony Abbott, newly elected to the Liberal leadership by a single vote, was unelectable. A fool. All over the shop.
In fact, Abbott’s performance since has been, frankly, heroic.
He fought against his self-doubt, and learned to stay resolute even under the most deliberately insulting questioning from political journalists, and under a fierce barrage of personal attack ads - all fired by a conviction he really was the knuckle-dragger everyone said he was.
Yet Labor discovered with Abbott what the Liberals found with Rudd before the last election: that a politician who does not break emerges stronger. Abbott forced many people to change their minds about him and about this ETS. Now look at him. Third lesson: there’s a good reason why Governors General should not play politics. And we’re looking at it now.
We may yet face a tied result. This in turn may require deft handling from the Governor General, Quentin Bryce. I’m sure she’ll do just what’s required, showing no favour to either side. But just as important is that the public believes she is indeed neutral. We cannot afford another bitter division as we had with the dismissal of Gough Whitlam in 1975.
Ignore that fact that her son-in-law, Bill Shorten, is a Gillard Government frontbencher. More relevant is the fact that Bryce, a lifelong Leftist, has compromised her position by playing politics so aggressively as Governor General. She toured Africa for Rudd, lobbying for votes for his bid for a United Nations Security Council seat.
She publicly endorsed a position on parental leave that was close to Labor’s own. She represented Australia at a global warming conference in the Middle East. You are right. None of this says Bryce will not do her job as faithfully as she would insist she will. But that all this can be said already shows how indiscreet and selfish she has been, promoting her own agenda when she should be concerned only for her country’s.
Three lessons, all about maturity, which in turn is about courage and duty.Learn these, and this election result may yet be worth the pain.
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