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megimoo
09-05-2008, 12:42 PM
The Drilling Ban

According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), the US imported 3,661,404,000 barrels of crude oil in 2007. Thatís royalties the US Treasury didnít collect, directly added to the annual budget deficit and ultimately the national debt. So how much money did the Democrats with their drilling ban cost the US Treasury last year? The bigger question is how much would the price of oil drop to if the US Congress had gotten itís act together and stopped playing politics as our friends at CORE are so upset about?

According to Representative John Peterson (R) of Pennsylvaniaís 5th District, the current going royalty rate is 15.17% on the cost of barrel of oil. (See PDF file)Before we start, the essential premise of Representative Petersonís claim of $ 2.5 trillion over five years is based on the recent peak cost of oil and natural gas projected into the past. He was using the past five years of consumption by keeping the drilling ban thus denying the rest of the world that oil for their use.

The premise we will use is to assume a price for oil from back in 2006 of around $ 60/barrel when gasoline was around $ 2.70/gallon at the pump. That premise is based on the capitalistic concept of charging what the market will bear with an abundance of supply, i.e. the US producing all of its own energy thus freeing those imports for other countries to use such as China, India, etc. The period chosen was during the election cycle when Nancy Pelosi and the Democrats promised to lower the price of oil NOT raise it by their foolishness of maintaining the drilling ban instead. The US Treasury would have taken in $ 33,326,099,208 (3,661,404,000 barrels x $ 60/barrel x 15.17%) or roughly $33.3 billion on crude oil alone last year.

However, the drilling ban didnít only affect crude oil, it also affected natural gas as well. According to the EIA, the US imported 4,607,582 million cubic feet (MCF) of natural gas and itís equivalent in LNG or Liquefied Natural Gas. The average cost of this imported natural gas was around $ 6.87 per thousand cubic feet (TCF). Using the same royalty rate the US Treasury would have taken in $ 4,801,925,201 (4,607,582,000 TCF x $ 6.87 TCF x 15.17%) or roughly $4.8 billion on natural gas last year. Between the two energy imports, the US Treasury was denied $38.1 billion in revenue last year.

Now on the surface, in the scheme of things, thatís not a huge number when we compare that to the total revenue stream into the US Treasury. However, such a narrow view does not take into account a few not so insignificant items such as: the retail cost of gasoline on the consumer at the pump, the cost of transportation on economy as a whole, the cost of living on the poor, the loss of GDP, the loss of state and local sales taxes, the cost of government outlays for public assistance and unemployment and so on.
http://conservablogs.com/publiusforum/2008/09/05/the-cost-of-the-drilling-ban/

Sonnabend
09-05-2008, 10:52 PM
Can anyone tell me (Logan and Eyelids, shut the fuck up) what capacity drilling would give?

I have sources that say 100 years, others say ten.

Anyone?

megimoo
09-05-2008, 11:19 PM
Can anyone tell me (Logan and Eyelids, shut the fuck up) what capacity drilling would give?

I have sources that say 100 years, others say ten.

Anyone?
How Long Will U.S. Oil Supplies Last?


The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimates remaining recoverable U.S. oil is about 200,000,000,000 barrels(2) . According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), as of Oct 2000 the U.S. oil demand is 420,000 barrels/day(4) .

Using these figures, I calculate the following first figures:
420,000 barrels/day times 365 days/year = 153,300,000 barrels/year
200,000,000,000 barrels divided by 153,300,000 barrels/year = 1,300 years.

http://home.earthlink.net/~mdmcnally/AimeeoilsuppliesR.htm

wilbur
09-05-2008, 11:35 PM
How Long Will U.S. Oil Supplies Last?


The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimates remaining recoverable U.S. oil is about 200,000,000,000 barrels(2) . According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), as of Oct 2000 the U.S. oil demand is 420,000 barrels/day(4) .

Using these figures, I calculate the following first figures:
420,000 barrels/day times 365 days/year = 153,300,000 barrels/year
200,000,000,000 barrels divided by 153,300,000 barrels/year = 1,300 years.

http://home.earthlink.net/~mdmcnally/AimeeoilsuppliesR.htm

How much does our oil usage grow per year, if its any kind of intelligible pattern? I would think it goes up... projections should include that.

AmPat
09-06-2008, 12:52 PM
We should be scarfing up ALL the oil available AND drilling for more. We should be also be researching and developing alternative sources.

If the USA doesn't buy the oil, it gets sold anyway. The buyer of that oil converts it directly into pollution so bad they had to make emergency shutdowns of their industries so the Olypic contestants could breathe. They will continue to pollute the globe with help from India while manufacturing all the cheap products that we want.

DIMS? LIBS? Are you paying attention? The USA is the only country that gives a tinker's DAMN about the pollution issue. You need to write your favorite DIM and let them know you support the environment and therefore you demand they buy and drill for more oil.

JB
09-06-2008, 01:13 PM
How Long Will U.S. Oil Supplies Last?

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimates remaining recoverable U.S. oil is about 200,000,000,000 barrels(2) . According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), as of Oct 2000 the U.S. oil demand is 420,000 barrels/dayAll those figures need to be re-checked.

U.S. daily oil consumption is in the 20 million barrel per day range.

Constitutionally Speaking
09-06-2008, 03:10 PM
Can anyone tell me (Logan and Eyelids, shut the fuck up) what capacity drilling would give?

I have sources that say 100 years, others say ten.

Anyone?


In the Green river formation ALONE there is 100 years worth of U.S. oil consumption (at current rates).


http://geology.com/news/2006/12/colorado-oil-shale-leases-green-river.html


800 billion barrels divided by 21 million barrels per day (current usage) divided by 365 days = 104+ years worth of oil.

Goldwater
09-06-2008, 03:20 PM
Can anyone tell me (Logan and Eyelids, shut the fuck up) what capacity drilling would give?

I have sources that say 100 years, others say ten.

Anyone?

No one knows for sure.

AlmostThere
09-06-2008, 11:49 PM
All those figures need to be re-checked.

U.S. daily oil consumption is in the 20 million barrel per day range.

20,680,000/ day

http://www.eia.doe.gov/basics/quickoil.html