View Full Version : Poll: Obama's NY Lead Falls to 5 Points; Down From 18 Points in June...

09-15-2008, 06:25 PM
Poll: Obama's NY Lead Falls to 5 Points; Down From 18 Points in June... (http://www.siena.edu/level2col.aspx?menu_id=562&id=19322)

For Immediate Release: Monday, September 15, 2008

Siena New York Poll:

With 50 Days Left, New York Is Far From True Blue
Obama’s Lead Falls to 5 Points; Down From 18 Points in June
Obama Seen As Stronger Than McCain on 4 of 6 Issues;
Voters See McCain As Better Than Obama on 4 of 6 of Attributes

Loudonville, NY. Seven weeks until Election Day, the race for President has tightened in New York, with Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) leading Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) 46-41 percent among likely voters, according to a new Siena (College) Research Institute poll released today. Obama’s five point lead is down from eight points in August, 13 points in July and 18 points in June, when he led 51-33 percent. On a series of six questions concerning current issues in the campaign – economy, Iraq, terrorism, health care, America’s position in the world, and education – likely voters believe Obama will do a better job on four. Conversely, out of six attributes voters often look at in choosing a candidate – compassion, patriotism, experience, intelligence, integrity, and leadership – New York’s electorate gives the edge to McCain on four.

“Although New York has long been regarded as a ‘safe’ state for the Democrats in presidential politics, likely voters in the Empire State are currently only giving Senator Obama a five-point cushion,” said Steven Greenberg, spokesman for the Siena New York Poll. “The conventions are over. The running mates are set. And as voters begin to focus on the race, New York’s overwhelming Democratic enrollment advantage is not reflected in how voters tell Siena they plan to vote.”

<<Snip (see chart at link (http://www.siena.edu/level2col.aspx?menu_id=562&id=19322))<<

Who’s Qualified?

“Two-thirds of voters think Obama is qualified to be President. More voters, however, believe his vice presidential running mate is qualified, and nearly four out of five voters believe McCain is qualified” Greenberg said. “New York voters are more evenly divided on Governor Sarah Palin’s qualifications to be President, with 47 percent saying she’s qualified and 41 percent saying she’s not.”

09-15-2008, 06:40 PM
If Obama's numbers drop any more in NY, MI, NJ and PA, it will be a disaster as he will have to start shovelling money into what should have been "safe" states and come up short with finances to really fight for the battleground states. With Florida now slipping out of reach, we could be weeks from the race becoming unwinnable for Barack.

09-15-2008, 06:43 PM
You know, if this trend continues we could be looking at a Nixon type 1974 landslide.