PDA

View Full Version : Iran Plots Revenge, U.S. Says



Odysseus
09-06-2013, 05:35 PM
Updated September 6, 2013, 11:09 a.m. ETIran Plots Revenge, U.S. Says

Officials Say Intercepted Message to Militants Orders Reprisals in Iraq if Syria Hit

By JULIAN E. BARNES (http://topics.wsj.com/person/A/biography/7722) and ADAM ENTOUS
WASHINGTON—The U.S. has intercepted an order from Iran to militants in Iraq to attack the U.S. Embassy and other American interests in Baghdad in the event of a strike on Syria, officials said, amid an expanding array of reprisal threats across the region.

http://m.wsj.net/video/20130906/090613hubamretaliate/090613hubamretaliate_512x288.jpg (http://www.conservativeunderground.com/forum505/#)

The U.S. has intercepted communications between Iran and Shiite militants in Iraq involving orders to the militia groups to attack the U.S. Embassy and other U.S. interests in Baghdad in the event of an American strike in Syria. Julian Barnes has more. Photo: AP.



Military officials have been trying to predict the range of possible responses from Syria, Iran and their allies. U.S. officials said they are on alert for Iran's fleet of small, fast boats in the Persian Gulf, where American warships are positioned. U.S. officials also fear Hezbollah could attack the U.S. Embassy in Beirut.

While the U.S. has moved military resources in the region for a possible strike, it has other assets in the area that would be ready to respond to any reprisals by Syria, Iran or its allies.



http://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/P1-BN001_LIONDO_G_20130905201732.jpg

Agence France-Presse/Getty ImagesA wounded person was carried to an ambulance following what the opposition said were Syrian regime airstrikes in the rebel-held province of Idlib.



Those deployments include a strike group of the USS Nimitz aircraft carrier and three destroyers in the Red Sea, and an amphibious ship, the USS San Antonio, in the Eastern Mediterranean, which would help with any evacuations.

The U.S. military has also readied Marines and other assets to aid evacuation of diplomatic compounds if needed, and the State Department began making preparations last week for potential retaliation against U.S. embassies and other interests in the Middle East and North Africa.
U.S. officials began planning for a possible strike on Syrian regime assets after the Aug. 21 attack outside Damascus in which the U.S. says Syrian government forces killed over 1,400 people using chemical weapons. The U.S. military has prepared options for an attack and beefed up its military resources in the region, including positioning four destroyers in the Eastern Mediterranean.


That process slowed last weekend when Mr. Obama said he would first seek an authorization for using military force from Congress.



http://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/WO-AP297_RETALI_G_20130905202148.jpg
Associated PressIraqi Shiite fighters on Thursday bury a comrade killed fighting on the side of the Assad regime in Syria.





A delay in a U.S. strike would increase opportunities for coordinated retaliation by groups allied with the Assad government, including Shiite militias in Iraq, according to U.S. officials.


The destroyers positioned in the Eastern Mediterranean are equipped with—in addition to Tomahawk missiles that could be used against Syria—the Standard Missile-3, which could be used to intercept ballistic missiles should Iran launch a retaliatory strike, officials said.


Israel has so far been the focus of concerns about retaliation from Iran and its Lebanese militant ally Hezbollah. The commander-in-chief of Iran's elite Revolutionary Guard Corps said last week that an attack on Syria would lead to the "destruction of Israel."


The State Department issued a new alert on Thursday warning against nonessential travel to Iraq and citing terrorist activity "at levels unseen since 2008." Earlier this year, an alert said that violence against Americans had decreased. That reassurance was dropped from the most recent alert.


The Iranian message, intercepted in recent days, came from Qasem Soleimani, the head of Revolutionary Guards' Qods Force (http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303816504577305742884577460.html), and went to Iranian-supported Shiite militia groups in Iraq, according to U.S. officials.


In it, Mr. Soleimani said Shiite groups must be prepared to respond with force after a U.S. strike on Syria.

Iranian officials on Friday denied their government was plotting attacks in Iraq against the U.S.


Alireza Miryousefi, a spokesman for Iran's United Nations mission, said the allegation was baseless and meant to "provoke the Congress" into authorizing a strike on Syria.

"We should remember that relying on U.S. intelligence reports from anonymous officials will repeat the tragedy of Iraq," he said.

Iraqi Shiites have been sympathetic to the Alawite-dominated government of Syria and oppose U.S. strikes against the regime of President Bashar al-Assad.


U.S. officials said the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad was one likely target. The officials didn't describe the range of potential targets indicated by the intelligence.

Attacks on the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad have fallen since American forces left Iraq. In the past, Iranian-trained Shiite groups have fired rockets and mortars at the embassy, at the urging of the Qods Force, a paramilitary arm of the IRGC.

Militants also have used suicide bombers and IEDs to attack Americans leaving the embassy compound, one of the largest American diplomatic facilities in the world, located in Baghdad's fortified Green Zone.

Syrians could also respond with "a vicious offensive" against the opposition inside Syria, said Aaron David Miller, a former top Middle East negotiator in the State Department who now is a vice president at the Woodrow Wilson Center. Such a move, he said, would be a way "to demonstrate defiance" without running the risk of hitting American targets.

Some officials believe a direct response from the Syrian or Iranian governments is less likely than reprisals from allied militant groups, such as Hezbollah.

Hezbollah, whose members have been fighting alongside government forces against the Syrian rebellion, could be used to launch rocket attacks against U.S. military assets or American allies, including Israel.

When the U.S. went to war with Iraq in 1991, Saddam Hussein fired rockets at Israel. Officials in Mr. Assad's government have threatened to strike Israel, as well as Syria's neighbors Jordan and Turkey if they aid the U.S.

For days, American officials have said they were particularly concerned about potential attacks on Turkey and Jordan. U.S. officials haven't reinforced defenses in those countries, but both already have Patriot batteries capable of shooting down incoming missiles or fighter planes.

Jordanian officials have said they also fear they could be hit by rockets or that Syrian forces would force new waves of refugees across the shared border, overwhelming the kingdom.

Other U.S. allies also are worried about an increased threat of retaliation.

French officials said they are concerned Hezbollah could target the hundreds of French troops taking part in a U.N.-backed peacekeeping mission in southern Lebanon.

Israeli officials have made clear they would respond forcefully if, in response to U.S. strike, Hezbollah fires rockets into the country.

—Jared A. Favole
contributed to this article.Write to Julian E. Barnes at julian.barnes@wsj.com and Adam Entous at adam.entous@wsj.com
A version of this article appeared September 6, 2013, on page A1 in the U.S. edition of The Wall Street Journal, with the headline: Iran Plots Revenge, U.S. Says.



Copyright 2012 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323893004579057271019210230.html


A few comments. First, the statement that "We should remember that relying on U.S. intelligence reports from anonymous officials will repeat the tragedy of Iraq," means that the rhetorical excesses of the left in seeking to delegitimize the Iraq War have come back to haunt them. As was noted at the time, the Quislings in the Democratic Party were carrying water for our enemies with their claims that Bush had lied about the causes for the Iraq war. The whole "Bush lied, people died" meme is now applicable to the Obama administration, which has been far more dishonest in describing events in Benghazi and its myriad scandals than any other administration, including Clinton's.

The threat to engage American allies in the region is significant. The Turkish Army is a far more effective force than the Syrian Army, and direct Turkish involvement would overwhelm Syria. Assad would have to appeal to Iran for help, and if they sent troops, then the entire region would be drawn in. Jordan lacks the capability to defeat a major attack, but Assad has his hands full, and would be unlikely to launch one, which means that Iran would be forced to engage. An Iranian incursion into Jordan could have catastrophic repercussions. The most likely scenario is an attack by Hezbollah against Israel, or a terror attack against an American target in the Middle East. Either of these could be written off by Obama. More dangerous is a terror attack in the US or Europe, which would result in demands for retaliation. Obama may just end up stumbling into a major Middle East war, and unlike Bush, he is both unwilling and unable to conduct one effectively.

A US strike on Syria, followed by reprisals, could draw Russia into the conflict, not as a combatant (at least, not directly), but as a supplier of arms. It could also boost Russian-Iranian cooperation and draw our two largest and most dangerous adversaries into an alliance.

Obama's indecisiveness and ineptitude are reaping real-world consequences.

SaintLouieWoman
09-06-2013, 06:02 PM
Obama's indecisiveness and ineptitude are reaping real-world consequences.
Excellent analysis. I hope that all those people with their ponies and rainbows and free phones and free stuff think about the consequences of voting for someone absolutely unqualified for the job, particularly someone who will not accept responsibility and does not seem to learn from his mistakes

God bless us all, we're going to need it.

Elspeth
09-06-2013, 06:21 PM
Remember how Dick Cheney wanted to go into Iran in 2005? As crazy as it sounded then, maybe he was right.

DumbAss Tanker
09-06-2013, 10:09 PM
Oooh, shocker. Not.

Actions have consequences, Bozo.