True; but I think what's important here is the Trend, not perhaps the precise percentages (where certainly some Margin For Error always exists). For Paul, in both Active Voter polls and Fundraising, the Trend is WAY up, from where he was at this stage in the last Election Cycle. And, as I said -- even if the only ultimate result of that, is that Paul is able to swing the eventual Nominee and 2012 Platform more to the Right on the issues I care about (Pro-Life, Pro-Guns, Pro-Capitalism), I'll be quite pleased if he has that much effect.
As for the latter, polls have proven themselves to be less and less valuable these days for a variety of reasons, not the least of which is that often they are conducted over the phone so that only those with a traditional landline will be respondents. That skews such polling right off the bat because it represents a cohort that is not a fair sampling by virtue of the diminishing sampling range as more and more people migrate to mobile phones and VoIP (e.g. Skype). In short, polling these days has become what climate science has become these days: untrustworthy. It is very easy and lucrative to make the data match your conclusion rather than the other way around.