Not likely - but this venture into ‘oil country’ (our folly in the Middle East) might be part of someone’s master plan - an alternate to the Japanese’s reaction to our cutting off their source of oil prior to WWII. Piss the Arabs off to the point that they start some high caliber shooting and we just go in a blow the living Hell out of everyone and nationalise the entire region for their natural resources.
It might cost tens-of-thousands of casualties on our side, but remember, nobody ever said war was without cost.
Sounds good to me.
Shell, BP and Exxon Mobil are far better at exploration, management and recovery than Saudi Aramco.