#1 2009 Hurricane Forecast Dampened by Cooling Waters04-14-2009, 05:42 PM2009 Hurricane Forecast Dampened by Cooling Waters
by G. Allen Brooks Parks Paton Hoepfl & Brown Tuesday, April 14, 2009
The team of Professors Philip Klotzbach and William Gray of the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University (CSU) released their first revision to their initial forecast for the 2009 hurricane season. They now see this year as an average season, down from their prior assessment of it being an active season. The new forecast calls for 12 named storms, down from 14 in their December 10, 2008, initial forecast. These storms will produce six hurricanes and two intense ones, each category lower by one. While the number of named storms is above the 50-year average spanning 1950-2000, the number of hurricanes and intense hurricanes is in line with the historical averages for that period.
While the reduction in the number of tropical storms and hurricanes does not appear overly dramatic, there is a marked reduction in the number of storm days. What is most notable about the new forecast is how much lower it is than the storm record of the past two years. In fact, the latest 2009 forecast would compare more closely with the 2006 storm season than almost any other year in the past six years.
“Progress is Providence without God. That is, it is a theory that everything has always
perpetually gone right by accident. It is a sort of atheistic optimism, based on an
everlasting coincidence far more miraculous than a miracle.”
G. K. Chesterton
04-16-2009, 04:54 PM
I sure hope we have nice weather in FT.Myers Beach the end of August!:D"If every poor man is to come here and start requesting money for all his children, the applicants will never be satisfied and the nation's finances will collapse." Emperor Tiberius: Tacitus:Annals
04-16-2009, 07:05 PM
- Join Date
- Jun 2008
- Brandon, FL
Good Deal, that will mean another summer of not having to listen the global warming nutbars.Onward Thru the Fog
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