If there is one set of polling data that must be sending chills down the spine of President Obama and his political aides, this is it:
President Barack Obama gets a lackluster 49 - 44 percent approval rating in Ohio, considered by many to be the most important swing state in a presidential election, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This is President Obama’s lowest approval rating in any national or statewide Quinnipiac University poll since he was inaugurated and is down from 62 - 31 percent in a May 6 survey.
By a small 48 - 46 percent margin, voters disapprove of the way Obama is handling the economy… This is down from a 57 - 36 percent approval May 6…. “Now, by a 48 - 46 percent margin, Ohio independent voters give the President a failing grade on the economy. These numbers indicate that he may be losing, at least for now, some of those who voted for him in November and should be an indication to the White House that his honeymoon with the voters may be ending,” [according to Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute].
Among independents, only one in three people in Ohio approve of Obama’s handling of the economy — and his overall job approval rating among independents is only 38 percent.
These findings are significant in several respects. First, Ohio is not Mississippi. It is arguably the most important state in American politics today and usually a pretty good indicator of what the nation is thinking. For Obama’s approval ratings to drop below 50 percent there is a troubling, and potentially quite damaging, development. And his loss among independents is simply startling.