MARBLEHEAD, Mass. -- Call her Martha Chokely. It should have been the easiest election cakewalk in the free world. But things have gotten so bad here for state Attorney General Martha Coakley that the projected turnout models going into the election have been junked, as everything is flipped on its head.

Just a week ago, conventional wisdom held that high voter turnout today would guarantee Coakley a smooth victory. But Republicans on the ground here believe now that her best hope may lie in a low turnout of just diehard Democrats.

State Sen. Scott Brown's best hope, they argue, is...

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