44 House Seats Moved Toward GOP

[Apocalypse]

http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blo...ed-toward.html

New House Ratings: 44 Seats Moved Toward GOP

We are still seven months until the midterm elections, so there is at least some possibility that the landscape could shift or that Democratic attacks on the GOP could keep Republican gains down to a minimum.

Substantial Republican gains are inevitable, with net Democratic losses now looking to be at least two dozen. At this point, GOP gains of 25-30 seats seem likely, though considerably larger gains in excess of 40 seats certainly seem possible.

We’ve moved 44 seats toward the Republicans and only 4 toward the Democrats.

Here are our latest House ratings.

#- Moved benefiting Democrats
* – Moved benefiting Republicans
Special Elections in italics

Pure Toss-Up (1 R, 13 D)

* AR 1 (Open; Berry, D)
* FL 24 (Kosmas, D) *
* IL 10 (Open; Kirk, R)
* IL 14 (Foster, D) *
* MI 1 (Open; Stupak, D)
* MI 7 (Schauer, D)
* NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
* NH 2 (Open; Hodes, D)
* NY 24 (Arcuri, D) *
* NV 3 (Titus, D) *
* PA 7 (Open; Sestak, D)
* PA 12 (Open; Murtha, D) *
* TN 8 (Open; Tanner, D)
* WA 3 (Open; Baird, D)

Toss-Up/Tilt Republican (0 R, 9 D)

* AL 2 (Bright, D)
* AR 2 (Open; Snyder, D) *
* FL 8 (Grayson, D)
* ID 1 (Minnick, D)
* IN 8 (Open; Ellsworth, D) *
* KS 3 (Open; Moore, D)
* MS 1 (Childers, D)
* VA 2 (Nye, D) *
* VA 5 (Perriello, D)

Lean Republican (3 R, 7 D)

* CA 3 (Lungren, R)
* CO 4 (Markey, D) *
* FL 25 (Open; M. Diaz-Balart, R) #
* LA 3 (Open; Melancon, D)
* MD 1 (Kratovil, D) *
* NM 2 (Teague, D) *
* NY 29 (Open; Massa, D) *
* OH 1 (Driehaus, D) *
* OH 15 (Kilroy, D) *
* WA 8 (Reichert, R)

Republican Favored (5 R, 1 D)

* CA 45 (Bono Mack, R)
* NE 2 (Terry, R)
* OH 12 (Tiberi, R)
* PA 6 (Gerlach, R) *
* PA 15 (Dent, R)
* TN 6 (Open; Gordon, D) *

Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic (0 R, 4 D)

* HI 1 (Open; Abercrombie, D) *
* ND A-L (Pomeroy, D) *
* SC 5 (Spratt, D) *
* WV 1 (Mollohan, D) *

Lean Democratic (1 R, 15 D)

* AZ 5 (Mitchell, D) *
* AZ 8 (Giffords, D) *
* DE -AL (Open; Castle, R) *
* IN 9 (Hill, D)
* IA 3 (Boswell, D) *
* MA 10 (Open; Delahunt, D) *
* MO 4 (Skelton, D)
* NJ 3 (Adler, D) *
* NY 1 (Bishop, D)
* NY 19 (Hall, D)
* OH 16 (Boccieri, D) *
* OH 18 (Space, D) *
* PA 4 (Altmire, D) *
* PA 11 (Kanjorski, D) *
* VA 9 (Boucher, D) *
* WI 7 (Obey, D) *

Democrat Favored (1 R, 19 D)

* CA 11 (McNerney, D)
* CO 3 (Salazar, D)
* CT 5 (Murphy, D)
* FL 22 (Klein, D) *
* IL 11 (Halvorson, D) *
* IN 2 (Donnelly, D) *
* LA 2 (Cao, R)
* NM 1 (Heinrich, D) *
* NY 13 (McMahon, D)
* NY 20 (Murphy, D)
* NY 23 (Owens, D) #
* NC 8 (Kissell, D)
* OH 13 (Sutton, D) *
* PA 3 (Dahlkemper, D) *
* PA 8 (Murphy, D) *
* PA 10 (Carney, D) *
* PA 17 (Holden, D)
* SD A-L (Herseth Sandlin, D)
* TX 17 (Edwards, D)
* WI 8 (Kagen, D)

Total seats in play: 79
Republican seats: 11
Democratic seats: 68

[PoliCon]

http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blo...ed-toward.html

New House Ratings: 44 Seats Moved Toward GOP

We are still seven months until the midterm elections, so there is at least some possibility that the landscape could shift or that Democratic attacks on the GOP could keep Republican gains down to a minimum.

Substantial Republican gains are inevitable, with net Democratic losses now looking to be at least two dozen. At this point, GOP gains of 25-30 seats seem likely, though considerably larger gains in excess of 40 seats certainly seem possible.

We’ve moved 44 seats toward the Republicans and only 4 toward the Democrats.

Here are our latest House ratings.

#- Moved benefiting Democrats
* – Moved benefiting Republicans
Special Elections in italics

Pure Toss-Up (1 R, 13 D)

* AR 1 (Open; Berry, D)
* FL 24 (Kosmas, D) *
* IL 10 (Open; Kirk, R)
* IL 14 (Foster, D) *
* MI 1 (Open; Stupak, D)
* MI 7 (Schauer, D)
* NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
* NH 2 (Open; Hodes, D)
* NY 24 (Arcuri, D) *
* NV 3 (Titus, D) *
* PA 7 (Open; Sestak, D)
* PA 12 (Open; Murtha, D) *
* TN 8 (Open; Tanner, D)
* WA 3 (Open; Baird, D)

Toss-Up/Tilt Republican (0 R, 9 D)

* AL 2 (Bright, D)
* AR 2 (Open; Snyder, D) *
* FL 8 (Grayson, D)
* ID 1 (Minnick, D)
* IN 8 (Open; Ellsworth, D) *
* KS 3 (Open; Moore, D)
* MS 1 (Childers, D)
* VA 2 (Nye, D) *
* VA 5 (Perriello, D)

Lean Republican (3 R, 7 D)

* CA 3 (Lungren, R)
* CO 4 (Markey, D) *
* FL 25 (Open; M. Diaz-Balart, R) #
* LA 3 (Open; Melancon, D)
* MD 1 (Kratovil, D) *
* NM 2 (Teague, D) *
* NY 29 (Open; Massa, D) *
* OH 1 (Driehaus, D) *
* OH 15 (Kilroy, D) *
* WA 8 (Reichert, R)

Republican Favored (5 R, 1 D)

* CA 45 (Bono Mack, R)
* NE 2 (Terry, R)
* OH 12 (Tiberi, R)
* PA 6 (Gerlach, R) *
* PA 15 (Dent, R)
* TN 6 (Open; Gordon, D) *

Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic (0 R, 4 D)

* HI 1 (Open; Abercrombie, D) *
* ND A-L (Pomeroy, D) *
* SC 5 (Spratt, D) *
* WV 1 (Mollohan, D) *

Lean Democratic (1 R, 15 D)

* AZ 5 (Mitchell, D) *
* AZ 8 (Giffords, D) *
* DE -AL (Open; Castle, R) *
* IN 9 (Hill, D)
* IA 3 (Boswell, D) *
* MA 10 (Open; Delahunt, D) *
* MO 4 (Skelton, D)
* NJ 3 (Adler, D) *
* NY 1 (Bishop, D)
* NY 19 (Hall, D)
* OH 16 (Boccieri, D) *
* OH 18 (Space, D) *
* PA 4 (Altmire, D) *
* PA 11 (Kanjorski, D) *
* VA 9 (Boucher, D) *
* WI 7 (Obey, D) *

Democrat Favored (1 R, 19 D)

* CA 11 (McNerney, D)
* CO 3 (Salazar, D)
* CT 5 (Murphy, D)
* FL 22 (Klein, D) *
* IL 11 (Halvorson, D) *
* IN 2 (Donnelly, D) *
* LA 2 (Cao, R)
* NM 1 (Heinrich, D) *
* NY 13 (McMahon, D)
* NY 20 (Murphy, D)
* NY 23 (Owens, D) #
* NC 8 (Kissell, D)
* OH 13 (Sutton, D) *
* PA 3 (Dahlkemper, D) *
* PA 8 (Murphy, D) *
* PA 10 (Carney, D) *
* PA 17 (Holden, D)
* SD A-L (Herseth Sandlin, D)
* TX 17 (Edwards, D)
* WI 8 (Kagen, D)

Total seats in play: 79
Republican seats: 11
Democratic seats: 68

I can't wait to see some of these bastards sent home in disgrace.

[lacarnut]

I think Repub pundits are low balling those estimates. With unemployment sky high, health care, deficit spending, government bailouts, it is possible that the Repubs could gain as many as a 100 seats in the House provided they field conservative candidates.

[patriot45]

I think Repub pundits are low balling those estimates. With unemployment sky high, health care, deficit spending, government bailouts, it is possible that the Repubs could gain as many as a 100 seats in the House provided they field conservative candidates.

I like the way you think! The pundits are playing it safe but it will be a massacre!

[fettpett]

and then our wonderful Idiot Former Pres says the opposite

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010...-house-senate/


the guy is pathetic...at lest both Bush's have kept out of politics since leaving office

[lacarnut]

and then our wonderful Idiot Former Pres says the opposite

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010...-house-senate/


the guy is pathetic...at lest both Bush's have kept out of politics since leaving office

I love the part where he states that people have not felt the full benefits of the health care plan. They will immediately feel four years of tax increases before the benefits kick in on 2014. Clinton and his band of clowns are pissing in the wind cause the folks get it. The dummiecrats will get slaughtered in Nov.

[fettpett]

I love the part where he states that people have not felt the full benefits of the health care plan. They will immediately feel four years of tax increases before the benefits kick in on 2014. Clinton and his band of clowns are pissing in the wind cause the folks get it. The dummiecrats will get slaughtered in Nov.

it's more like shitting in the wind and will get splattered with it:eek::D