Moscow’s Sinister Brilliance:Who wants to die for Tbilisi?
Lost amid all the controversies surrounding the Georgian tragedy is
the sheer diabolic brilliance of the long-planned Russia invasion. :eek:
Let us count the ways in which it is a win/win situation for Russia.
The Home Front
The long-suffering Russian people resent the loss of global influence and empire, but not necessarily the Soviet Union and its gulags that once ensured such stature. The invasion restores a sense of Russian nationalism and power to its populace without the stink of Stalinism, and is indeed cloaked as a sort of humanitarian intervention on behalf of beleaguered Ossetians.
There will be no Russian demonstrations about an “illegal war,” much less nonsense about “blood for oil,” but instead rejoicing at the payback of an uppity former province that felt its Western credentials somehow trumped Russian tanks. How ironic that the Western heartthrob, the old Marxist Mikhail Gorbachev, is now both lamenting Western encouragement of Georgian “aggression,” while simultaneously gloating over the return of Russian military daring.
Russia’s only worry is the United States, which currently has a lame-duck president with low approval ratings, and is exhausted after Afghanistan and Iraq.
But more importantly, America’s attention is preoccupied with a presidential race, in which “world citizen” Barack Obama has mesmerized Europe as the presumptive new president and soon-to-be disciple of European soft power.
Better yet for Russia, instead of speaking with one voice, America is all over the map with three reactions from Bush, McCain, and Obama — all of them mutually contradictory, at least initially. Meanwhile, the world’s televisions are turned toward the Olympics in Beijing. The autocratic Chinese, busy jailing reporters and dissidents, are not about to say an unkind word about Russian intervention. If anything, the pageantry at their grandiose stadiums provides welcome distractions for those embarrassed over the ease with which Russia smothered Georgia.
Most importantly, Putin and Medvedev have called the West’s bluff.
We are sort of stuck in a time-warp of the 1990s, seemingly eons ago in which a once-earnest weak post-Soviet Russia sought Western economic help and political mentoring. But those days are long gone, and diplomacy hasn’t caught up with the new realities. Russia is flush with billions. It serves as a rallying point and arms supplier to thugs the world over that want leverage in their anti-Western agendas. For the last five years, its foreign policy can be reduced to “Whatever the United States is for, we are against.”
The geopolitical message is clear to both the West and the former Soviet Republics: don’t consider NATO membership (i.e., do the Georgians really think that, should they have been NATO members, any succor would have been forthcoming?).
Together with the dismal NATO performance in Afghanistan, the Georgian incursion reveals the weakness of the Atlantic Alliance.
The tragic irony is unmistakable. NATO was given a gift in not having made Georgia a member, since otherwise an empty ritual of evoking Article V’s promise of mutual assistance in time of war would have effectively destroyed the Potemkin alliance.
NATO, being Western Europe's answer to the Warsaw Pact, should not cave to Russian demands.
In other words if cancer is cured, you believe the Cancer society should continue?
Maybe my history is a little off, but the Soviet Union did end ...Right? Who exactly is the threat now? How far do you suggest we go? Are we going to offer every little podunk piss ant nation a guaranteed security?
Are you familiar with the type of security dilema this creates for the region. Are you aware of the term Zero sum game in international politics?
Put yourself in the place of the Russian federation. Few that think that NATO expansion is a keen idea actually do this, but if Russia had defeated us in the cold war and was expanding the warsaw pact into W. Europe and central America, we would protest.
Well, at least you and I would already be in reeducation camps. Fortunately, we've got until January or February until that happens. Hooray for winning the Cold War!
If they had been a member of NATO I seriously doubt Russia would have attacked, they dont want to provoke us.
IMO NATO wont work anymore, too many members are in the EU and they are working on their own joint Military, or have the desire to do so
The only countries that would muster would be us and England and MAYBE(but not likely) Germany
I guess then that every place on earth is of vital security interests to the U.S.
and now encroaching on this new supossed "soviet threat" is a good thing.
But that's the nature of today's Practical politics...it's about keeping the populace alarmed at numerous threats so they can lead us to safety.
What did the founders say? Avoid entangling alliances? Well... NATO and the UN are two.
I think those "dead white guys" had alot more wisdom than we give them credit for. We tend to act enlightened...Yet I know few in power postions who's recent decisions and policies I would compare to the founders.
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