Real Clear Politics Predicts House is Now GOP.

[Rockntractor]

[Rockntractor]

[Odysseus]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo..._toss_ups.html
If you go to their Senate: No Toss Ups page, the toss ups break 2:1 for Republicans, which gives us a 49 seat caucus after the election. The four that break Republican are Illinois, Nevada, Colorado and Pennsylvania. The two that look like they could break Democratic are West Virginia and Washington, and while I'd like to see the Dems lose there, I could probably live with Manchin in the senate, as he's far to the right of most Democrats (and a number of Republicans) and wouldn't be an embarrassment to either party. And, if Obama continues to alienate people, he's a good probability to cross the aisle.

[KhrushchevsShoe]

Nevada will definitely go Republican, but I doubt IL and CO will too. You're asking a lot of states which are very deeply entrenched.

Its hard to see WI flipping too, but that race is closer than anybody anticipated.

[djones520]

Nevada will definitely go Republican, but I doubt IL and CO will too. You're asking a lot of states which are very deeply entrenched.

Its hard to see WI flipping too, but that race is closer than anybody anticipated.

IL is probably in the bag for the Dems because nealy all the military votes won't make it in time, with 400,000 other mail ballots that will be late because of stupid shenigans.

[KhrushchevsShoe]

IL is probably in the bag for the Dems because nealy all the military votes won't make it in time, with 400,000 other mail ballots that will be late because of stupid shenigans.

The military is no longer a monolithic voting block that overwhelmingly goes R every election cycle. Besides, even if it were, in a state like IL even the military votes majority democrat.

[Constitutionally Speaking]

Nevada will definitely go Republican, but I doubt IL and CO will too. You're asking a lot of states which are very deeply entrenched.

Its hard to see WI flipping too, but that race is closer than anybody anticipated.

I don't think there is any question that CO and IL will go Republican this time around. WV and Washington and California will be tough for the Republicans.

[KhrushchevsShoe]

I don't think there is any question that CO and IL will go Republican this time around. WV and Washington and California will be tough for the Republicans.

I like to think I know IL pretty well, it being my home-state and all. To say there is "no question" it will swing red is laughably quote worthy. I look forward to using it to embarrass you.

[Arroyo_Doble]

I don't think there is any question that CO and IL will go Republican this time around. WV and Washington and California will be tough for the Republicans.

I see NV and CO but not IL just yet.

WI is done which should scare the crap out of Democrats. You lose working class whites and you have lost the linchpin of your governing coalition.

[KhrushchevsShoe]

I see NV and CO but not IL just yet.

WI is done which should scare the crap out of Democrats. You lose working class whites and you have lost the linchpin of your governing coalition.

I'm not convinced WI is a sure thing they way I am NV.

Frankly, I'm elated to see Reid go. Cocksucker.