Does one ever learn from the past? We should, but apparently do not. Bussel invites the reader on a journey to Israel’s Second War in Lebanon (summer, 2006) and a three week repeat engagement in 12/2008 - 1/2009 in Gaza. He then extrapolates to the Next War, in which a divided Israel will “stand as one, equal under the threat.”

The signs are there, the occurrence fixed only the actual dates are unknown. Given a shock like the American usage of nuclear bombs in World War II, the war may be short, as was the Six Day War in 1967. Or it can be long, much longer than the Day of Atonement War in 1973, if it becomes an all-out war for elimination and survival. In either case, it will start with a surprise attack, like Pearl Harbor or Germany’s invasion of Poland.

Israel and the West will be dumbfounded and awake to a very ugly reality. If eyes do not open quickly, the USA may actually contribute to a faster deterioration of Israel’s chances of survival. Failure to attribute action against Israel correctly, or expecting the President’s charm to work wonders in places it has already failed, may further collapse Israel’s already weakened condition. America’s full military might behind Israel is NOT for Israel’s sake, it is for America’s own future survival.

To answer those who ask “why be pessimistic?” I say: We do not have the luxury of fooling ourselves anymore. Few who understand the enemy believe tomorrow will bring with it peace and reconciliation. Evil is emboldened and becomes more aggressive as we continually retreat into our cocoon of optimistic denial and rosy anticipation of a benevolent future.

The business of evaluating possible future scenarios and developments is not pessimism, rather the optimist’s inner belief goodness will prevail and we will win. Cautious optimism must be combined, however, with the realization that preparation is required to achieve victory