A commenter (John M) on the Watts Up With That blog has made a very interesting table of the annual temperatures predictions made by the UK Met Office over the last ten years. In nine of the last ten years, they have overpredicted global temperatures and the amount of warming.
IN 2001, 2002, 2004, 2005, and 2007 the Met Office predicted that the next year would be either the hottest or the second hottest on record.
Note that the Met Office routinely claims that their predictions are vindicated, because the error ranges around each prediction covers the actual temp. However, there is obviously a systematic bias.
The accumulated error over 10 years is around +0.6 degrees. Curiously, this figure is similar to (slightly greater than) the catastrophe scenarios from the computer models (up to 4.5 degrees per century). The Met Office, of course, through their Hadley Centre, are one of the major purveyors of catastrophic global warming computer models.
The models routinely exaggerate warming on 12-month scales. How much faith should we put in them to be accurate over 50-100 years?
Wilson row over green 'alarmists'
The Environment Minister Sammy Wilson has angered green campaigners by describing their view on climate change as a "hysterical psuedo-religion". In an article in the News Letter, Mr Wilson said he believed it occurred naturally and was not man-made.
"Resources should be used to adapt to the consequences of climate change, rather than King Canute-style vainly trying to stop it," said the minister. Peter Doran of the Green Party said it was a "deeply irresponsible message."
Mr Wilson said he refused to "blindly accept" the need to make significant changes to the economy to stop climate change.
"The tactic used by the "green gang" is to label anyone who dares disagree with their view of climate change as some kind of nutcase who denies scientific fact," he said. The minister said he accepted climate change can occur, but does not believe the cause has been identified.
"Reasoned debate must replace the scaremongering of the green climate alarmists."
John Woods of Friends of the Earth said Mr Wilson was "like a cigarette salesman denying that smoking causes cancer". "Ironically, if we listen to him Northern Ireland will suffer economically as we are left behind by smarter regions who are embracing the low carbon economy of the future."
(...uh, this is the same Ireland that told the EU to go fuck itself?)
It is the latest clash between Mr Wilson and green groups since his appointment as environment minister in June.