Quote Originally Posted by Tipsycatlover View Post
You give Gary Johnson way too much credit. He will get the same libertarian vote the libertarians always get. He won't split the Republican vote. If Ron Paul is the republican nominee that would definitely split the republican vote as republicans flee the party.
I'm pretty damn sure that even Republicans would vote RP over Obama. However, Gary Johnson has some pull in states which will be in play (the mid/south west) in 2012. Gary Johnson getting on the ballot and pulling votes will definitely swing the election to Obama. There's no away around that.

For instance, New Mexico goes 45% for Obama, 44% for Generic Republican nominee, and 6% for Gary Johnson. Well, Obama claims 100% of the electoral votes for New Mexico, because he won the state. This *will* happen should Gary Johnson actually campaign.