Poll Stunner! McCain-Palin Close 34 Point Gap On Women’s Issues
To go from a 34 point deficit to a 2 point lead in the span of 2 months is incredible.
OK this is the biggest poll shocker I have seen since the Palin selection for VP:
Since picking Sarah Palin as his running mate, John McCain has obliterated what had been a 34-percentage-point deficit in a poll of likely women voters on the question of which candidate has a “better understanding of women and what is important” to them.
The two are now effectively tied, with McCain’s 44 to 42 percentage lead within the margin of error of the most recent poll conducted by pollsters Kellyanne Conway and Celinda Lake for Lifetime Television.
In Lifetime’s July poll, women preferred Barack Obama on the same question by nearly three-to-one— 52 to 18 percent.
Emphasis mine. To go from a 34 point deficit to a 2 point lead in the span of 2 months is incredible. I still think the national polls are out of whack because of the models they use to extrapolate the samples into a representation of the national picture. If the voter models are off, so are the bottom line numbers. I also doubt all polls that have a 40% Dem- 30% Rep distribution, it just isn’t going to happen this year. My bet is the end numbers will we be 33%-35% each - a basic tie in turnout.
25% of Hillary support going to McCain-Plain, a number Obama cannot hope to win with.
And I think women are going to send a shock wave through the body politic for the next 16 years with Palin at the lead. Look at the numbers for Hillary supporters:
About one in four women who supported Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton in the primaries now said McCain and Palin have a better grasp of women’s needs than Obama and his running mate.
25% of Hillary supporters going to McCain-Plain, a number Obama cannot hope to win with. Women have their champion, and the more the elitist women try and smear Palin, the more your everday American women (and mothers) will rally to her side. You cannot smear Palin without the mud hitting average Americans and pissing them off.