An Election Poll that really matters

[Molon Labe]

303 to 235 was the final this morning. I still think it's too high.

[Arroyo_Doble]

303 to 235 was the final this morning. I still think it's too high.

At this point, you can probably start naming the states to subtract:

303 - Colorado 9 = 294

294 - Virginia 13 = 281

281 - New Hampshire 4 = 277

277 - Iowa 6 = 271

271 - Ohio 18 = 253

[Molon Labe]

At this point, you can probably start naming the states to subtract:

303 - Colorado 9 = 294

294 - Virginia 13 = 281

281 - New Hampshire 4 = 277

277 - Iowa 6 = 271

271 - Ohio 18 = 253

Virginia is in a bad way going to be one of the keys tonight. Unfortunately I think Obama's got it, because he hasn't been here. He let Biden suck up to crowds yesterday.

NH and IOWA are probably going Romney although the former is debateable.

Romney is not winning Ohio.

[Odysseus]

Virginia is in a bad way going to be one of the keys tonight. Unfortunately I think Obama's got it, because he hasn't been here. He let Biden suck up to crowds yesterday.

NH and IOWA are probably going Romney although the former is debateable.

Romney is not winning Ohio.

I really don't see Virginia going to Obama. First, Rasmussen had Romney up by 2, and he's the most reliable pollster. VA went to Bush twice against Kerry and Gore, and the military vote here is pretty solid. The DC suburbs have seen lower turnout than four years ago, and I don't see much enthusiasm among the Democrats, while the Republicans are fired up. I'd be shocked if Obama pulled this off.

[Molon Labe]

I really don't see Virginia going to Obama. First, Rasmussen had Romney up by 2, and he's the most reliable pollster. VA went to Bush twice against Kerry and Gore, and the military vote here is pretty solid. The DC suburbs have seen lower turnout than four years ago, and I don't see much enthusiasm among the Democrats, while the Republicans are fired up. I'd be shocked if Obama pulled this off.

I'm not sure if the military vote is as strong as the left wing bureaucrat lapdogs that live in N. Virgina. Not to mention Yankee transplants and everyone else who's dependant on the Feds for about 3/4 of Virginias jobs. It's going to be close and it's just a prediction. I couldn't believe it in 08 when we went for Obama either.

[m00]

We sure tried, but in fairness the more facts that come out about Mittens the more likeable he becomes, he is a man of character and at the very least ten steps up from McCain.

I completely agree with you. The more he is "caught" in off-air or in private comments, the more I liked him. But then he would go in public and give a speech or his campaign would do a press announcement about his position on something, and I'm like "why would you say that?" And then I don't know what to believe.

Whatever happens, I hope the RNC learns the right lessons from this election.

[Molon Labe]

Whatever happens, I hope the RNC learns the right lessons from this election.

Agree, because if Romney is soundly defeated, It will send a message not to nominate a third liberal in 16.

[djones520]

Agree, because if Romney is soundly defeated, It will send a message not to nominate a third liberal in 16.

He won't be. My prediction is that if he's defeated, we'll see a 2000 type thing. I won the popular vote, and lost by a hair on the electoral. It won't be a sound thrashing.

[m00]

Agree, because if Romney is soundly defeated, It will send a message not to nominate a third liberal in 16.

Wellllll..... I'm sure what they will actually say is "we didn't do a good enough job of coaching our selected nominee to act like a conservative in the primaries in such a way that he can walk back from the positions in the general and then act like a centrist but not be called a flip-flopper. lets pick an emptier suit next time that looks more comfortable lying."

But I'm an optimist. :)