Thread: Why Cuccinelli Lost . . . and How We Might Have Won

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  1. #1 Why Cuccinelli Lost . . . and How We Might Have Won 
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    http://www.nationalreview.com/corner...won-ralph-reed

    ....McAuliffe won by a very narrow margin, even though polls had shown him with a lead of seven to ten points. The reason? A superior conservative and GOP ground game, a failure of Obama voters to turn out for McAuliffe, and the meltdown of Obamacare over the past two weeks, which closed the race to a statistical dead heat.

    Still, Cuccinelli lost a race that he once led. The question is why, and was it ever in the cards for him? There were many factors in the outcome, some of which Cuccinelli could have controlled, and others that were beyond his control.

    First, the GOP was divided. Then–attorney general Bob McDonnell and Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling agreed heading into the 2009 election that McDonnell would run for governor first, then Bolling would run for governor in 2013 and McDonnell would back him. Cuccinelli was not a party to this arrangement and never felt bound by it. He chose to run for governor anyway, which was his right. But by changing the nominating process from a primary to a convention, his supporters backed Bolling into a corner (Cuccinelli likely would have won a primary as well), forcing him out of the race. Bolling refused to support Cuccinelli, many of his supporters and donors sat on their hands, and the GOP was hopelessly divided. This stood in stark contrast to the party unity that led to victory four years earlier, and it was a major factor in the outcome. If you want to win, it’s fine to have a heated intramural struggle (certainly Hillary Clinton and Obama did in 2008), but you must mend fences when it is over. The GOP needed everyone on the field to win, and that did not happen...


    Second, Cuccinelli was badly outspent. In fact, by being lapped by $15 million, he probably suffered the worst financial disadvantage of any gubernatorial candidate in modern Virginia political history. McAuliffe raised $34.4 million to Cuccinelli’s $19.7 million and in the final weeks was outspending him up to ten to one on television in major markets like Washington, D.C. In 2009 the opposite was the case: Bob McDonnell raised $21 million to Creigh Deeds’s $16 million. McDonnell’s advantage was starker in the closing weeks; in October he outspent Deeds two to one on television.

    Cuccinelli’s funding disadvantage was exacerbated by the fact that he had won every previous race in his political career while being heavily outspent. In 2009 his opponent outspent him three to one in the closing weeks, yet Cuccinelli won handily. The same was true in his campaigns for state senate. This created a false belief that his strong grassroots support could overcome losing the air war in a rout. But down-the-ballot races are not the same as being at the top of the ticket. Cuccinelli needed to be more financially competitive with McAuliffe, especially after Labor Day when the race began to slip away....
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  2. #2  
    Senior Member Molon Labe's Avatar
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    Ralph Reed analysis is flawed.

    Cucc hasn't led this race since the early Summer. Hed been having to come from behind for months, and it was too little too late. Add in The Big Clinton political spin machine, a bit of Chicago political trickery with the lack of money and a less than stellar campaign, and you lose.

    Virginia has been moving further from being small government for a couple of decades now. Virginians current population wants big government, and lots of free stuff.

    That's very hard to overcome when you have the perfect storm of poltical savvy meets fear of Small govenment reality.
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    The evil but clever Dems stole the Virginia election and yet could not manage the same thing in New Jersey.
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    PORCUS MAXIMUS Rockntractor's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Novaheart View Post
    The evil but clever Dems stole the Virginia election and yet could not manage the same thing in New Jersey.
    No need in New Jersey.

    You are honestly smarter than this, why the recent idiocy, is someone using your account, did you get a new prescription?
    How is obama working out for you?
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  5. #5  
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  6. #6  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Novaheart View Post
    The evil but clever Dems stole the Virginia election and yet could not manage the same thing in New Jersey.
    Because they knew a lost cause when they saw it. Christie's poll numbers have been sky high ever since he took office. Throw in how he handled Sandy which included planting his nose so far up Obama's ass that he could have told you what Obama had for lunch the week before not to mention that he did this right before the presidential election. It was such a lost cause that the only person who could have challenged him, Corey Booker, knew enough not to run so the Dems ran a sacrificial lamb. No matter what, Christie was being re-elected. Besides, NJ really isn't in play in 2016. Virginia is and getting a Clintonista elected as governor does more for Hillary's chances in 2016 than having a Republican governor would hence Virginia was a more strategic move. Virginia is a purple to turning blue state. Jersey will go Democrat no matter what. So, as usual, your attempt at snark fails.
    "Inequality is a false notion propagated by those who are made to feel guilty for what they have by those who are jealous for what they don't"-Former MTV Host Kennedy
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  7. #7  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Novaheart View Post
    The evil but clever Dems stole the Virginia election and yet could not manage the same thing in New Jersey.
    They didn't need to "steal" Virginia. They knew their votes were in the northern part of the state, where most of the population is.
    "Today, [the American voter] chooses his rulers as he buys bootleg whiskey, never knowing precisely what he is getting, only certain that it is not what it pretends to be." - H.L. Mencken
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  8. #8  
    Senior Member txradioguy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rockntractor View Post
    No need in New Jersey.

    You are honestly smarter than this, why the recent idiocy, is someone using your account, did you get a new prescription?
    No he's not. He has the capability of acting smarter than he is...most Libtards do...what you're seeing now is his true Libtard self...like the DUmmies over on Skin's Island it comes out when they feel threatened or are upset that his Masters in the DNC didn't get something they wanted.
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    The libs/dems of today are the Quislings of former years. The cowards who would vote a fraud into office in exchange for handouts from the devil.
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  9. #9  
    Senior Member Molon Labe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Novaheart View Post
    The evil but clever Dems stole the Virginia election and yet could not manage the same thing in New Jersey.
    Why would they need to when the fat loudmouth is one of their best buddies.

    You know absolutely nothing about power poltics do you?

    You're just comfortable calling it craziness, when the evidence is pretty clear if you actually read book from time to time.
    Gun Control: The theory that a woman found dead in an alley, raped and strangled with her panty hose, is somehow morally superior to a woman explaining to police how her attacker got that fatal bullet wound - Unknown


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