Thread: John Kerry almost assured of victory and thus becoming our next president.

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  1. #1 John Kerry almost assured of victory and thus becoming our next president. 
    An Adversary of Linda #'s
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    Election Day ballot the only reliable poll

    Political polls are an interesting item of which we voters should take lightly.

    I, as a campaign volunteer, recall Election Day of 2004. At approximately 5 p.m., reports from exiting polls on the East Coast told of Sen. John Kerry almost assured of victory and thus becoming our next president.

    When the voting was closed a few hours later and the votes were all cast and counted, we then heard the news that President George W. Bush was re-elected to a second term of office.

    How could the polling be so inaccurate then? And how can the Minnesota polling conducted by the Star Tribune be so inaccurate now, with the huge leads projected against Sen. John McCain and Sen. Norm Coleman?

    The answer lies in the method of the polling process. Poll results can say whatever one wants them to say, with the motive being one in the same.

    On Election Day 2004, as now with less than 30 days until Election Day 2008, the motive of this polling process is to discourage certain voters and keep them away from the polls.

    How is this accomplished? The answer lies in polling voters of which their political party is known, or over-polling the voters of a known political party.

    On Election Day 2004, the exiting polling was over-conducted in Democrat precincts. Last week, the polling conducted by the Star Tribune was over-extended to the Democrats and thus less extended to the Republicans.

    The Star Tribune, as most major media outlets, lean heavily to the left. They do not want the conservative and Republican principles to exist.

    So conservative and fellow Republicans, please get out the vote on Election Day. Do not be swayed by the polling process, which wants you to stay home. Get out the vote on Election Day no matter what you read or hear regarding the projected polls.

    The only accurate poll is the one conducted when all the votes are cast and counted.
     

  2. #2  
    Senior Member LogansPapa's Avatar
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    so sad. :(
    At Coretta Scott King's funeral in early 2006, Ethel Kennedy, the widow of Robert Kennedy, leaned over to him and whispered, "The torch is being passed to you." "A chill went up my spine," Obama told an aide. (Newsweek)
     

  3. #3  
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    The funniest part of the 2004 election was the media meltdown afterwards. Susan Estrich drunk off her ass on Fox threatening to take an investigation to the very top. Dan Rather pointing out that if Kerry won this state, and this state and this state went for Kerry, he could still pull it out and then recoil in horror as those states went for Bush. So he would recalculate saying well he can still win with this state and this state and this state and another state would go read. The as the other networks projected that Bush won, Rather was still trying to say that this state this satate could make a difference. The night ended with him refusing to declare Bush the winner. The meltdown this year will be even better. The funeral pyres will burn for days.
     

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    Senior Member LibraryLady's Avatar
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  5. #5  
    Senior Member xavierob82's Avatar
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    This day on October 12, 2004.

    Electoral map projection gleaned from polling data projects:

    Kerry 260 Bush 274




    With the exception of New Hampshire and Nevada, the polling was fairly accurate in 2004.

    Kerry was never assured victory.

    http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp200...aps/Oct12.html
    Last edited by xavierob82; 10-13-2008 at 12:56 AM.
     

  6. #6  
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    Obama's numbers have pretty much stagnated since the middle of last week. Get ready because the ACORN and Ayers issues are starting take hold. You think the Stock Market numbers hit a slide, just wait. On top of everything else, the market may have bottomed out and huge money is going to flood in buying up undervalued stocks as early as tommorow. Probably have record gains several days next week and that will aleveate a lot of the economic fears. There is going to be a turnaround and it will be big.
     

  7. #7  
    Senior Member LibraryLady's Avatar
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    In the last 3 days the Gallup has narrowed from 11 to 7 points difference

    Zogby for tomorrow is 48-44

    And Rasmussen is predicted at 50-45.

    Only time will tell.
     

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