Barack Obama winning in VA

[Eyelids]

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_c...ntial_election

McCain has lost ground among both male voters over the past month. He leads Obama among men 49% to 41%, but a month earlier his lead was nearly twice that size (15%). Women voters currently favor Obama 48% to 39%, little changed from a month ago.

The Republican candidate’s lead among unaffiliated voters has vanished. Last month McCain had a 19% lead over Obama among these voters. Now the two candidates are essentially even.

With Mrs. Clinton’s departure from the race, the question remains whether her voters, especially women, will move into Obama’s column. The new survey also shows only a marginal increase for the candidate from state Democrats overall – 76% now as opposed to 75% in May. McCain’s support among Virginia Republicans is at 82%, also up 1% from last month.

The Republican Party in 2008

[Eyelids]

Oh, and Kansas is looking competitive:

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_c...ntial_election

That ten-point advantage is half the lead the Republican enjoyed a month ago, before Obama clinched the Democratic nomination. Nationally, since clinching the nomination, Obama has enjoyed a modest bounce in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

We all know what that little dent is, but man -- this thing is looking BLEAK for McCain.

[lacarnut]

Dream on. McCain is going to trounce the magic negro.

[Eyelids]

Obama might actually win by 5%+

[Eyelids]

Based on polling numbers heres what the country looks like now (there is no bias here)



Not good for McCain. At all.

[Speedy]

Based on polling numbers heres what the country looks like now (there is no bias here)



Not good for McCain. At all.

Florida will never go for Obama. Pennsylvania is not looking good for Obama and neither is Ohio. Nevada is not going to go for Obama either. Obama faces the same problem that Gore and Kerry did. He cannot make any inroads in the South. If he can't win the South, can't win Florida or Ohio, and loses Pennsylvania, he is toast.

There are already signs of a rift forming in the Democratic Party as a flood of Democrats running for re-election are stampeding away from him.

[Eyelids]

Obama doesnt need FL, if Obama wins all the Kerry states plus NM, CO and IA (he is polling very well in all 3 of those states) and loses NH its a tie and goes to the Democrat controlled House of Representatives. I wonder who they'll pick?

Since 2/24 there have been 13 polls in PA, of which Obama leads 10 by margins of 7% on average. Theres a guy does this stuff based purely off poll #'s and has Obama at a 76% chance of winning PA.

Ohio is a toss up right now, any discrepancy is pretty much statistical noise even though you might get the impression Obama is starting to catch up (the unity bounce has yet to be really looked at OH, as there have been no polls conducted since Hillary's departure).

And Obama cant win the South?
Most recent Rasmussen poll of MI has Obama up by 3.
McCain is still comfortably ahead in LA, but over the past 2 months his lead has been cut in half.
Missouri is a tie, there are two recent polls with McCain by 1 and 2 percent and a third with Obama by 3. Again, statistical noise.

And incumbent Democrats are aligning with Obama without hesitation, hell the DNC even implented all of his campaign policies from the primaries after Clinton dropped out.

Obama has all of the Kerry states in the bag , he'll have to work a bit to ensure PA stays blue but with Clinton on the trail he can push the right buttons there. Obama has support spread across the entire country, and the GOP cannot compete with his resources. Obama wins the battle of atrition every time, even with Rev. Wright the Republicans couldn't establish a wedge issue.

Its over. Obama is your next president, better start cozying up to that.

[dixierat]

Well I guess McCain should just pack uop and go home. This is toast! Legs is everywhere!

[everyman68]

Looking at it objectively Obama should win handily.It's still June...

The SuperBowl was for the Patriots to lose.All the metrics favor Obama but he can still lose.He's also the only Democrat who could lose in such a favorable environment.

[SaintLouieWoman]

Based on polling numbers heres what the country looks like now (there is no bias here)



Not good for McCain. At all.

And doesn't that just make you so happy? Think your map is a bit off. Heard on an NBC show yesterday (not exactly the McCain Support Network) that Obama might not even spend too much of his campaign dollars in Florida, as he's too far behind.