#1 Barack Obama holds 71-20 lead in Latino VotersEyelidsGuest06-18-2008, 12:40 AM
WaPo's sampling error is +/-3%, even if you triple the sampling error Obama holds a clear edge over McCain. 3 times as many latinos right now would support Barack Obama before they would McCain.
Obama is winning the Latino vote by an insurmountable margin.
06-18-2008, 01:02 AM
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Nowhere in the link you posted does it say that. 20% is about what the Republican nominee gets as far as the Hispanic vote and the RCP poll of polls has McCain with about 35% of the Hispanic vote. That would be about a 75% increase in Hispanic voters supporting McCain over the support that President Bush got. 35% of the Hispanic vote going to McCain would be an irretreivable disaster for Obama.
06-18-2008, 01:02 AMOriginally Posted by the gutless wonder known as Eyelids
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone June 12-15, 2008, among a random national sample of 1,125 adults, including additional interviews with randomly selected African Americans, for a total of 201 black respondents. The additional interviews (commonly referred to as an "oversample") were completed to ensure there were enough African American respondents for separate analysis; the group was not over-represented in the reported results from the full sample. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
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