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  1. #21  
    Power CUer noonwitch's Avatar
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    A poll like this really doesn't give any information one way or another. The primaries aren't done yet (ours is next Tuesday), for one thing. For another, if the poll isn't district by district, all you can really get is an overall trend that doesn't apply to any specific races.

    This kind of poll would be more telling in a Governor's race, since those are state-wide.
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  2. #22  
    Festivus Moderator ralph wiggum's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by noonwitch View Post
    A poll like this really doesn't give any information one way or another. The primaries aren't done yet (ours is next Tuesday), for one thing. For another, if the poll isn't district by district, all you can really get is an overall trend that doesn't apply to any specific races.

    This kind of poll would be more telling in a Governor's race, since those are state-wide.
    That Larry Sabato guy apparently flipped a bunch of house district projections from toss up to lean D, or lean R to toss up. So the media lapped it up.

    It truly comes down to each Congressional seat specifically, not a referendum on the President. See Obama midterms in '10 & '14. He was beloved by the media, but it had negligible effect on the congressional races.
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  3. #23  
    Senior Member DumbAss Tanker's Avatar
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    Q-pac has tended to the further Left end of the spread in the Presidential polling, not sure I'd take this as gospel.
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  4. #24  
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    An interesting thread on this:

    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...995108869.html

    1. You have all heard about the open seats the GOP has to defend and how this is going to lead to a blue wave and a dem takeover of Congress. Well tonight that narrative got a 2x4 of reality upside the head at least in Tennessee.
    2. In Tenn primary 4 of those open seats were up for grabs. Three of those seats were in the House District 2, 6th and 7th and one in the senate.
    3. In House district 2 the turnout so far with 95% reporting is
    96,800 GOP votes to 30,300 Dem votes.
    4. In the 6th district, the turnout so far with 99% reporting is
    104,700 GOP votes to only 30,600 Dem votes
    5. In the 7th district the gop candidate ran unopposed so no turnout numbers for the GOP side but on the dem side with 88% reporting only 32,700 people bothered to show up. This is NOT a blue wave turnout numbers
    6. Finally in the Senate race for an pen seat. This is the one the dems were really pushing a couple months ago as a possible flip for the dems. With 96% reporting the turnout so far is 710,500 GOP votes to only 375,300 dem votes.
    7. turnout was up for BOTH parties. Again not what a blue wave would show. Dems might have "energy" but they don't have enough voters and are being matched with a corresponding increase in GOP voters.
    8. Quick what happens when two equal but opposite waves come together?
    9. Destructive interference
    Destructive interference occurs when waves come together in such a way that they completely cancel each other out. When two waves interfere destructively, they must have the same amplitude in opposite directions
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  5. #25  
    Power CUer NJCardFan's Avatar
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    If people vote to flip the house then I give up. The economy is rolling so they'll vote to roll all of that back? Um, OK. But if it does happen them I'm done as a voter. Let this country go socialist. Please. So I can see these people piss and moan when the tax rate doubles.
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  6. #26  
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    Quote Originally Posted by NJCardFan View Post
    If people vote to flip the house then I give up. The economy is rolling so they'll vote to roll all of that back? Um, OK. But if it does happen them I'm done as a voter. Let this country go socialist. Please. So I can see these people piss and moan when the tax rate doubles.
    People can be extraordinarily stupid. Look at your governor...

    (I know YOU didn't vote for him, but there's a whole BUNCH of idiots in New Jersey who did, and they're not all from Camden.)
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